A second agreement in Minsk, on 12 February, resulted in a ceasefire which, for the time being, is mainly maintained, and measures to de-escalate the conflict. However, many officials on the ground and in Kiev, Moscow and the West believe that the war in eastern Ukraine could resume within a few weeks. If so, much will depend on the quality of the best commanders on both sides. The Ukrainian military is embedded in a command crisis that the country`s leaders do not seem willing to admit or address. For the separatist rebels, the leadership and control that Moscow offers could give them the edge in new fighting.  Russian President Vladimir Putin has declared himself ready to use his influence to prevent the DVR and the LPR from holding early elections.  As a result, the DVR and the LPR announced on October 6 that their scheduled elections had been postponed to February 21, 2016.  On October 25, 2015, municipal elections were held in the rest of Ukraine. The product of hasty formulations, it courageously tries to mask the yawning differences between the Ukrainian and Russian positions. As a result, it contains contradictory provisions and defines a confused succession of acts.
There is also a gaping hole: although it was signed by the Russian ambassador to Ukraine, Mikhail Zurabov, the agreement does not mention Russia – an omission that Russia has used to evade responsibility for implementation and maintain the fiction that it is a disinterested arbiter. The Protocol on the Results of the Consultations of the Trilateral Contact Group or well known as the Minsk Protocol is an agreement to end the war in the Donbass region of Ukraine, signed on 5 September 2014 by representatives of that country, the Russian Federation, the Donetsk People`s Republic (DPR), the Luhansk People`s Republic (LPR) and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE).    It was signed after extensive discussions in Minsk, Belarus, under the auspices of the OSCE. . . .